Generating Random Numbers; Basic Principles of Monte Carlo; Numerical Schemes for Stochastic Differential Equations; Simulating Financial Models; Jump-Diffusion and Levy Type Models; Simulating Actuarial Models; Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods.

For further information see the academic catalog: IAM757 - Monte Carlo Methods in Finance and Insurance

Course Objectives

At the end of this course, the student will learn:

  • the generation of pseudorandom numbers from a given distribution
  • basics of Monte Carlo methods and variance reduction techniques
  • the algorithms for numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations, such as Euler-Maruyama and Milstein schemes, and convergence of numerical methods
  • the simulation of Lévy processes, in particular, jump-diffusion processes by Euler-Maruyama method for jump-diffusions
  • possible fields of applications of continuous-time stochastic processes with continuous and discontinuous paths
  • basic principles of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and Bayesian estimation

Course Learning Outcomes

Student, who passed the course satisfactorily will be able to:

  • generate pseudorandom numbers from a given distribution that is commonly used in finance and/or insurance
  • apply Monte Carlo methods and variance reduction techniques to approximately integrate, or take, the underlying expectation and moments of random variables
  • simulate continuous-time stochastic processes with continuous and discontinuous paths; characterise the convergence and rate of convergence of the numerical schemes used
  • apply the methods to models in finance and/or insurance, such as pricing models under Black-Scholes or Heston model settings, interest rate models as well as derivatives, risk measures, pricing longevity products
  • learn basics of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and Bayesian estimation in actuarial mathematics

Instructional Methods

The following instructional methods will be used to achieve the course objectives: lecture, questioning, discussion, group work, simulation.

Tentative Weekly Outline

  1.  Generating Random Numbers
  2. Generating Random Samples (Numbers) from a Specified Distribution
  3. Monte Carlo Method and Integration
  4. Variance Reduction Techniques: Antithetic and Control Variates
  5. Variance Reduction Techniques: Stratified, Conditional, and Importance Sampling
  6. Some Applications from Finance and Insurance
  7. Numerical Schemes for Stochastic Differential Equations: Euler-Maruyama
  8. Numerical Schemes for Stochastic Differential Equations: Milstein scheme and Lamperti transform
  9. Convergence Analysis of Numerical Schemes and Extrapolation Methods
  10. Basics of Multilevel Monte Carlo Method
  11. Numerical Solutions of Jump-Diffusion Processes
  12. Simulation of Lévy Processes
  13. Some Applications from Finance and Insurance
  14. Basics of Markov Chain Monte Carlo and its Applications

Course Textbook(s)

  • R. Korn, E. Korn, G. Kroisandt, Monte Carlo Methods and Models in Finance and Insurance, Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2010

Course Material(s) and Reading(s)

Reading(s)

  • P. Glasserman, Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering, Springer, 2003
  • G. S. Fishman, Monte Carlo: Concepts, Algorithms, and Applications, Springer, 1996

Supplementary Readings / Resources / E-Resources

Resources

Those who do not have R on their PCs can download it from the site http://www.r-project.org.

A very nice Quick-R website is located on http://www.statmethods.net.

Other

Related to the textbook, check the site http://www.stat.pitt.edu/stoffer/tsa3/R_toot.htm.

Recently Published

Application of Various Modelling Techniques into Consumer Confidence Index

Betül Kalayci, Vilda Purutçuoğlu, Gerhard Wilhelm Weber, Ömür Uğur, Özlem Defterli, Application of Various Modelling Techniques into Consumer Confidence Index, in: Operations Research: Evolving Frontiers and Diverse Applications, Vilda Purutçuoğlu, Gerhard Wilhelm Weber, Hajar Farnoudkia (editors), CRC Press, pp. 42-66, 2025.
ISBN: 978-1-032-84304-9 | eBook ISBN: 9781003540434

PlumX

Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi, Uygulamalı Matematik Enstitüsü, Üniversiteler Mahallesi, Dumlupınar Bulvarı No:1, 06800 Çankaya/Ankara